Company's Financial Accounting
All about Price-to-Earnings Ratio, P/E Ratio
Price multiple or Earnings multiple
DEFINITION:
The Price-to-Earnings ratio (also known as PE Ratio or P/E Ratio, price multiple or earnings multiple):
- the financial ratio, one of the most important indicators for valuing a company and determining a stock's relative valuation;
- trailing P/E ratio is the most popular P/E metric, as it's the most objective, of course in case of the company reported its earnings results fairly;
- it is used to compare a company's share price relative to its Earnings per Share (EPS);
- it shows how much investors are willing to pay per dollar/euro of earnings;
- it is a quick way to see if a stock is undervalued or overvalued. Investor can figure out whether he/ she are paying a fair price;
- it helps you to understand whether the price is high or low, compared to other companies in the same sector (same industry);
- it is used by financial analysts and investors as an investment tool to pick the stocks.
There are several types of P/E Ratios:
- Trailing (based on the backward-looking basis) Twelve Month PE Ratio or P/E Ratio (TTM): is calculated using the earnings per share over the past 12 months.
- Forward P/E Ratio (based on the projected basis): is calculated using the expected (upcoming, forecasted) earnings for the next twelve months.
- P/E Ratio without NRI (without Non-Recurring Items): the reported earnings less the non-recurring items are used.
- Shiller P/E Ratio: the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged.
The main types of P/E ratio are trailing and forward.
FORMULAS for calculations:
P/E Ratio = Current Market Price of Share / Earnings Per Share (EPS)
P/E Ratio = Market Capitalization / Total Net Earnings
P/E Ratio = Company’s Equity Value/ Net Income
RESULT INTERPRETATION:
- P/E Ratio can be applied to the stocks across different industries.
- The lower the P/E ratio, the better. The low P/E ratio can indicate that a company may currently be undervalued. However, it is quite crucial to understand the reasons behind a company’s low P/E ratio. Sometimes, the it may indicate that the company's business model is in decline, and investors expect its earnings to decline.
- Lower P/E ratio may indicate the company has solidified its market share.
- Stocks with low P/E ratios: Value stocks; stocks with low growth potential.
- Mature industries that pay a steady rate of dividends have a low P/E ratio.
- The high P/E ratio could indicate that a company's stock is overvalued (i.e., securities that trade higher than their fair market value), but, from the other hand it may just reflect a trend within the sector.
- Higher P/E ratio might mean investors expect higher earnings growth in the future. High growth stocks, growth tech stocks often have a high P/E ratio.
- The high P/E ratio often indicates increased demand.
- According to Peter Lynch, a company with P/E Ratio equal to its growth rate is fairly valued.
- Stocks with the same P/E Ratio - the one with faster growth business is more attractive.
- Negative P/E means that a company is not profitable, it shows how much money the company lost with every dollar (euro) of invested funds.
- P/E ratio calculation is meaningless if the company loses money and has no earnings.
- If P/E ratio is expressed as N/A (not applicable or not available), thus, it means a company has zero or negative earnings per share (EPS), and, thus, it has no earnings or is posting losses. Note, that the company can also have a P/E ratio of N/A if it is newly listed on the stock exchange and has not yet reported earnings.
- The company's P/E ratio should only be used as a comparative tool when considering companies in the same sector (same industry); or when comparing a company against its own historical P/E data.
- Note: earnings can be manipulated, and, it means, P/E ratio should never be relied on as a sole indicator in investment decision-making process.
- PE Ratio without NRI is a more accurate indication of valuation than PE Ratio.
EXAMPLE 1
Let's calculate P/E ratio for Illumina as of Jan. 13, 2022. We can take all needed data from the investing website GuruFocus, for instance. As of that date, the company's stock price was $ 399.95. Illumina's Earnings per Share for the trailing twelve months ended in Sep. 2021 was $6.09.
Therefore, Illumina's P/E ratio is $399.95 / $6.09 = 65.67
P/E ratio of 65.67 means that:
- the market is currently willing to pay $65.67 for each dollar of earnings generated by the company;
- company's investors would need about 66 years to earn back their initial investment through the company’s ongoing profits;
- according to GuruFocus, S&P 500 PE Ratio was 26.56, on January 13, 2022. Medical Diagnostics & Research Industry Median: 29.28. This data informs investors that Illumina's stock may have been overvalued as of that date.
EXAMPLE 2 (same industry)
Companies’ data Company Share Price Company Earnings Outstanding Shares Company A $70 $150 000 70 000 Company B $20 $50 000 15 000 Earnings per share (EPS) calculation:
EPS (company A) = Total Earnings / Outstanding Shares = 150 000 / 70 000 = $ 2,14
EPS (company B) = 50 000 / 15 000 = $ 3,33
P/E ratio (company A) = Current Market Price of Share / Earnings Per Share = 70 / 2,14 = 32,7
Stock is trading at about 33 times the company’s earnings per share.
P/E ratio (company B) = 20 / 3,33 = 6
Stock is trading at 6 times its earnings.
The Company B may be undervalued because of its lower P/E ratio. In case of the similar growth rates, company B might be the better investment.
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